US
US Monetary Policy
Topic
60.0%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 16
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Quantitative easing (QE) is predicted to likely return next year if Donald Trump's economic policies are implemented, aiming to stimulate the economy.
"QE is likely to come next year if Trump gets his way in terms of like juicing running the economy ho..."
Dec 15, 2025
Incorrect
President Trump is predicted to select the replacement for the Federal Reserve Chair.
"And who's going to be the person that chooses his replacement? It's going to be President Trump."
Nov 25, 2025
Correct
The US will likely need to lower interest rates to manage its increasing debt burden.
"I think ultimately US will have to have lower interest rates otherwise it is going to become increas..."
Nov 13, 2025
Correct
The December FOMC meeting and the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) are critical events that will influence the market's trajectory towards a potentially bullish end to 2025.
"The December FOMC meeting and the official end of QT are now the most critical events to watch. The ..."
Oct 31, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in September 2025.
"I think they're projecting that the Fed is going to cut rates in September."
Oct 14, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the United States will have no choice but to continue printing more money.
"pretty much suggests that the United States is going to have no other choice other than to continue ..."
Sep 29, 2025
Correct
More than two interest rate cuts are expected in 2025, with further rate cuts anticipated in 2026, contrary to some predictions of only two for the year.
"And I'm telling you that's not going to be the last of it. It's not going to be the last of rate cut..."
Sep 8, 2025
Correct
Quantitative easing is predicted for 2026.
"And then we're most likely going to have quantitative easing to look forward to in 2026."
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve implemented the fastest interest rate hiking cycle in 40 years, moving from 0% to 5.5% within 18 months.
"The Fed hiked rates from 0% to 5.5% in just 18 months, the fastest tightening cycle in 40 years."
Sep 3, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve may establish a special facility to mitigate bond market volatility by allowing countries to borrow US dollars against long-term bonds, rather than selling them.
"the Fed would then create a special facility to minimize bond market volatility by making it possibl..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve's cooperation with Trump's tariff plans is necessary for certain monetary policies, potentially influencing Trump's stance on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
"that though would require the Federal Reserve Board being on board with Trump's tariff plans and cou..."
Apr 27, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell intends to serve out his term as Fed Chair until May 2026.
"He intends to serve out his term until May 2026."
Apr 21, 2025
Pending
If Jerome Powell were fired, he would likely ignore the dismissal, continue working, and challenge the decision in the courts.
"He would ignore it. He would continue working. He would challenge it. And then this goes through thr..."
Apr 21, 2025
Pending
The US Treasury Secretary supports the Federal Reserve's independence.
"Treasury Secretary Well, not a terrible idea. He said that he backs Fed independence obviously."
Apr 21, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts are not expected in the May Federal Reserve meeting.
"And indeed it doesn't seem like there'll be rate cuts coming into the May meeting."
Apr 21, 2025
Pending
A JP Morgan analyst predicts the Fed may implement an emergency rate cut before their scheduled meeting.
"The Fed could step in for an emergency rate cut before the next meeting."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Arthur Hayes' analysis suggests that the Fed will eventually resort to money printing and submit to fiscal dominance due to the necessity of monetary stimulus.
"all roads do lead to money printing. And this reminds me of an actual I did an interview over the we..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
If market declines and recession fears escalate, the Federal Reserve will be compelled to provide stimulus.
"If if markets continue tanking and if recessionary fears start creeping up then stimulus will have t..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Market indicators suggest an 81% probability of four Fed rate cuts by December 2025, with a 46% chance of five cuts. Goldman Sachs forecasts a total of 130 basis points in cuts for 2025.
"there's an 81% chance of four cuts by the end of the year. This is 2025, December 2025. And 46% chan..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to pause quantitative tightening. They might be compelled to engage in quantitative easing by purchasing treasury debt, particularly if the debt ceiling is raised, despite their previous statements ruling it out until rates reach zero.
"The Fed has p is going to pause quantitive tightening and um they may be forced to if the if the deb..."
Apr 7, 2025
Pending
Tariffs might cause the US economy to slow down, leading the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. This, in turn, could allow the US to refinance its debt and boost markets.
"these tariffs could be deflationary and it could cause the US economy to slow down enough to force t..."
Apr 4, 2025
Correct
The FOMC meeting on January 29th is a key event that will set the tone for potential rate cuts in the coming year, even though a cut this week is unlikely.
"29th of January two days time it is the FOMC meeting damn straight now there's obviously no chance o..."
Jan 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates only twice in 2025, which will contribute to keeping mortgage rates elevated.
"the FED will only cut interest rates twice in 2025 keeping mortgage rates High"
Dec 14, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to near 0% following a manufactured crisis, enabling the US government to refinance its debt at lower rates.
"they're most likely going to do they're going to manufacture a crisis so that the Federal Reserve wi..."
Oct 21, 2024
Incorrect
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will likely start cutting interest rates in September 2024.
"it really seems like they're probably going to be cutting in September here"
Aug 2, 2024
Pending
Predicted that a Federal Reserve interest rate cut would most likely occur in September 2024.
"my guess is September is going to be the most likely time frame at this point"
Jul 15, 2024
Pending